City
Epaper

Developments in West Asia to steer Indian equity market (Market Outlook)

By IANS | Updated: January 5, 2020 15:30 IST

With the US killing of the top Iran commander Qasem Soleimani tensions in the Middle East have reignited and any further development on this front would be the most importact factor for the Indian equity market, along with its global conterparts, in the coming week.

Open in App

Iran has vowed to take "tough" revenge and global leaders have raised concerns over the the incident and its eventualities. US President Donald Trump, on the other hand, has warned Iran that he has identified 52 Iranian targets and will respond "very fast and very hard" to any reprisal from Tehran.

Oil and gold prices had already surged on Friday after reports surfaced of the General being killed in Iraq, and both the Sensex and Nifty50, along with global indices, tumbled during the day. The same nervousness and concern is likely to follow in the coming week.

"Escalation between US and Iran, will add crude prices and geopolitical tensions impacting the performance in the short-term," said Vinod Nair of Geojit Financial Services.

Siddhartha Khemka, Head of Retail Research at Motilal Oswal Financial Services said: "Markets could be volatile going ahead due to risk of possible retaliation from Iran."

However, there are also some positive global and domestic factors which are likely to provide support to the market in the coming days, including the Trump's recent announcement to sign the first phase of the US-China trade deal.

In a major sign of improvement in the manufacturing segment, the IHS Markit India Manufacturing PMI rose to 52.7 in December from 51.2 in November.

Further, the gross GST collection in December 2019 announced last week, grew by 8.92 per cent year-on-year to 1.03 lakh crore, although remaining below the target of Rs 1.10 lakh crore set by the government. This growth in GST collection is also likely to boost market sentiments, analysts said, along with the government's latest announcement of a Rs 102 lakh crore infrastructure pipeline.

"Few positive domestic data, like improvement in GST revenue and India factory production to 7-month high, has brought a broad-based rally," Nair said.

He added that the global market may also trade in the positive in anticipation of improvement in economy and uptick in steel prices post the announcement of US-China first phase deal to be signed on January 15.

Another major factor for the domestic market sentiments in the coming week would be the corporate earning results for the quarter-ending December, analysts added.

"On the positive side, markets would be looking ahead for signing of the phase-1 of the US-China trade deal along with the December quarterly results and developments prior to the Union Budget," said Motilal Oswal's Khemka.

With all the factors playing their role, the most significant factor to be watched by the investors would be the developments in West Asia and any further movement by the US and Iran on that front, as per analysts.

On Friday, the BSE Sensex slumped over 270 points on tensions and uncertainty in the Middle East, before closing the day's trade at 41,464.61, lower by 162.03 points or 0.39 per cent, on its previous close of 41,626.64 points.

The Nifty50 on the National Stock Exchange (NSE) settled at 12,226.65, lower by 55.55 points or 0.45 per cent, on its previous close.

( With inputs from IANS )

Tags: usiranGSTVinod NairMotilal Oswal
Open in App

Related Stories

NationalNew GST Reforms: CTI Launches Poster Campaign in Delhi Markets Raising Awareness About Rate Cuts (Watch Video)

NationalNew GST Rates: Launching on the First Day of Navratri, Reforms Bring a ‘True Double Bonanza,’ Says PM Narendra Modi

NationalPM Modi To Address Nation At 5 PM Today: Big Announcement Expected

NationalGST 2.0: Amit Shah Says, 'Want You to Shop More This Festive Season, But Only Swadeshi'

NationalBMW Slashes Car and Bike Prices in India After GST 2.0 Implementation

कारोबार Realted Stories

BusinessCentre to install QR code sign boards on National Highways for ease of commuting

BusinessAround 35 pc of 650 operational malls in India now meet institutional grade: Report

BusinessASEAN, RCEP key for building resilience against US tariffs says Spl Advisor for International Trade to President of Indonesia

BusinessApple Watch Ultra saves life of 26-year-old Mumbai techie during Scuba diving mishap

BusinessPakistan’s power sector faces crisis as consumers shift to rooftop solar units