City
Epaper

Expected stimulus, attractive valuations to prop up equities (Market Outlook)

By IANS | Updated: August 18, 2019 15:50 IST

An expected stimulus package, along with attractive valuations are likely to swing the domestic equity indices' upwards during next week.

Open in App

However, any rise in the US-China trade tensions, coupled with a slowing global growth scenario and earnings downgrade, will arrest the market's northward trajectory.

Analysts opined that investors are awaiting a stimulus package and relief for foreign portfolio investors (FPIs) from the super-rich surcharge which was announced in the latest Budget.

The positive outlook on a likely stimulus package gained after Prime Minister Narendra Modi recently reviewed the state of the economy with Finance Minister Nirmala Sitharaman.

"A bounce back is expected in the coming week on the back of attrative valuations and expectations of a stimulus package," Edelweiss Professional Investor Research Chief Market Strategist Sahil Kapoor told .

According to HDFC Securities' Retail Research Head Deepak Jasani: "The expected reliefs post the meet of PM with FM to provide a solution to the slowdown may also lead to this upmove, though the extent may not be large."

"Nifty could face resistance in the coming week from the 11,108-11,181 band and later 11,210, while it could take support from 10,895," he said.

In contrast, earnings growth and outlook might be downgraded for 2019-20 as overall first quarter profit after tax (PAT) grew by only 8 per cent compared to expectations of 11 per cent on a year-on-year (YoY) basis, which is expected to cap any major upward movement of the market.

"On the other hand, global issues are not subsiding while the domestic market is floating on hopes of stimulus package," said Vinod Nair, Head of Research at Geojit Financial Services.

"Given the government weak fiscal condition, limited measures may not have a positive effect in the market," he added.

In terms of currency, the rupee, on a weekly basis, weakened by 35 paise to close at 71.16 against the dollar, down on its previous week's close of 70.81 per greenback.

"Artificial stimulus and currency wars are making the markets jittery. Rupee can trade with a weak bias towards 72 and can appreciate a bit if stimulus is announced," said Sajal Gupta, Head, Forex and Rates, Edelweiss Securities.

(Rohit Vaid can be contacted at rohit.v@.in)

( With inputs from IANS )

Tags: Narendra ModiNirmala SitharamanVinod Nair
Open in App

Related Stories

HealthInternational Yoga Day 2025: Know Theme, Date, and How Yoga Can Benefit Life on Earth

PunePune Bridge Collapse: PM Modi Speaks to CM Fadnavis as Death Toll Rises to 4

National"Unimaginable That Vijay Bhai Is No More”: PM Modi Mourns Former Gujarat CM's Death In Ahmedabad Plane Crash

NationalRajasthan Family’s Last Selfie Before Ahmedabad Plane Crash Goes Viral, Captures Final Moments

NationalAhmedabad Plane Crash: PM Narendra Modi Reviews Situation With Officials After Site Visit

कारोबार Realted Stories

BusinessChintan Research Foundation to focus on evidence-based research: Pranav Adani

BusinessAshwini Vaishnaw meets Russian Deputy PM, discusses rare earth metals and infrastructure

BusinessElsa-3 shipwreck: Kerala mulling admiralty suit against MSC shipping company

BusinessIndia needs a scale of transformation to become 'Viksit Bharat' by 2047: Pranav Adani

BusinessAir India flights to be hit from June 21 to July 15 due to Boeing checks