City
Epaper

Experts on GDP numbers: 'Worst is not past us'

By IANS | Updated: November 29, 2019 20:10 IST

Despite a slew of government measures aimed at reviving growth, the Indian economy continued its downward trajectory. The Q2 GDP growth fell to its lowest in 6 years, eliciting sharp reactions from the Opposition and experts. What is more worrying is the fact that some experts said the worst may not be past us.

Open in App

Former Finance Secretary Subhash Chandra Garg said in a tweet the goal of $5 trillion economy seems to be slipping away by at least one year.

Talking to , former Chief Statistician of India, Pronab Sen said the manufacturing showing negative growth is certainly worrying. "I don't think the growth has bottomed out, the growth figures may continue to decline the next quarter too, however, post fourth quarter may show some recovery owing to the base effect," Sen said.

On the divergence seen in the stocks markets, currently around record levels, Sen said: "It is essentially in reaction to the corporate tax cut".

Prof. R. Nagraj of Indira Gandhi Institute of Development Research (IGIDR), Mumbai, said: "I don't see any green shoots in the economy as of now."

However, N.R. Bhanumurthy, Professor at the National Institute of Public Finance and Policy believes that the GDP growth has bottomed out and we may see revival ahead.

"Such low growth figures were not expected. Led by the service sector, we can see a revival in the next quarter".

Deepthi Mary Mathew, economist at Geojit Financial Services, also said that the GDP growth rate for Q2FY20 was in line with the market expectation at 4.5 per cent. All the indicators ranging from IIP, electricity consumption to core inflation rate were pointing towards the fact that the economy has not entered the revival path.

Sreejith Balasubramanian, Economist-Fund Management, IDFC AMC, noted that "bottoming out could be further down the road and recovery is unlikely to be V-shaped as consumer demand, credit supply and risk appetite remain lacklustre".

( With inputs from IANS )

Tags: SENSubhash Chandra Gargindia
Open in App

Related Stories

InternationalIranian President Calls for Constructive Role of Brics to Halt West Asia Conflict During Talks With PM Modi

LifestyleEid 2026 Date: When Will Saudi Arabia, UAE and India Celebrate Eid-ul-Fitr?

MaharashtraMaharashtra CM Devendra Fadnavis Unfurls 200-Foot National Flag at Nagpur’s Kasturchand Park

NationalAhmedabad Traffic Update for India vs New Zealand T20 World Cup Final: Check Road Closures and Alternate Routes Near Narendra Modi Stadium

AurangabadLocal industries feel heat of Global conflict

कारोबार Realted Stories

BusinessGovt working to minimise supply chain impact, pharma sector unaffected: Commerce Secretary

BusinessIndian Railways carry 1,670 MT freight, run 25,000 trains daily in FY26

BusinessIndia to boost biosimilar insulin, CGM manufacturing as Global South looks for support

BusinessGujarat: Rs 500 discount for new domestic PNG connections ​

BusinessNITI Aayog launches ATL Sarthi, Mentor India Academy to deepen school‑level innovation