City
Epaper

Global economy will remain fragile in 2020: Moody's

By IANS | Updated: November 19, 2019 14:50 IST

Global credit conditions in 2020 will weaken as a result of growing risks of an economic downturn, trade policy uncertainty and the effects of an unpredictable political and geo-political environment, Moody's Investors Service said on Tuesday.

Open in App

Although Moody's does not expect a recession in 2020, recession risks are building, the report said.

The global economy has witnessed the lowest global growth in 2019 since the 2009 recession.

Risks will be centred around US-China trade disputes, Brexit-related uncertainty and the escalation of other bilateral disputes. At the sector level, spillover effects from trade frictions will drive shifts in global supply chains and weigh on investment decisions, Moody's noted.

Furthermore, sporadic episodes of heightened financial market volatility will flare up as long as trade uncertainty lingers.

Other risks to the global economy relate to high leverage and the historically high number of debt issuers with weak credit quality accessing the credit markets.

"Recession risks will remain elevated in Europe and the US, while in China domestic rebalancing will continue to create challenges in maintaining the country's rapid growth," Moody's noted.

Moody's expects interest rates to remain low and yield curves to remain flat for several years going forward, with mixed credit effects by sector.

Low rates will keep borrowing costs attractive for sovereigns and companies but will create a difficult operating environment for banks and insurers. Moreover, low rates will also continue to encourage risk taking as investors reach for yield.

( With inputs from IANS )

Open in App

Related Stories

International'Her vision and legacy will endure': PM Modi writes to Tarique Rahman, condoles death of former Bangladesh PM Khaleda Zia

InternationalExercise Desert Cyclone-II culminates at Al-Hamra, strengthening India-UAE defence cooperation

National'Odisha Vigilance registered 202 graft cases, arrested 212 officials and others in 2025'

AurangabadPolitical careers of 70 candidates end abruptly

Other Sports"Ending 2025 with beautiful memories....": Neeraj Chopra posts pictures of wedding festivities after incredible year on, away from field

कारोबार Realted Stories

BusinessTN allocates Rs 248.44 cr for Pongal gift hampers; decision on cash component awaited

BusinessFrom Captain to K-Kick: Kerala’s accidental comedy festival in a brandy bottle

BusinessPRAGATI changed governance culture, sped up Rs 85 lakh crore projects: PM Modi

BusinessHow rural women in Chhattisgarh’s Sarkada achieved financial independence

BusinessIGL cuts cooking gas price in Delhi-NCR