City
Epaper

'The great gold bull market has begun'

By IANS | Updated: August 17, 2019 10:00 IST

Gold prices have hit a record high amid a rush for safe haven assets owing to the fears of a recession. Goehring & Rozencwajg, a research firm which focuses on investments in natural resources, says the great gold bull market has begun.

Open in App

Gold prices have surged over 20 per cent since January 1 and touched a life-time high of $1,546.10 per troy ounce amid multiple headwinds, primarily US-China trade spat.

A bull market is defined by a condition in a financial market where a commodity, stock, currency or bond prices are rising or are expected to rise.

According to the Goehring & Rozencwajg's report, this bull market will be driven by Western investors, and their buying pressure may have already started.

Recently, the UK and Germany's economy contracted, raising fears of recession. Germany, the biggest European economy which is largely export-dependent, has been hit by US-China trade tensions.

The UK, the world's fifth largest economy, recently logged negative growth, owing to the pressure on its businesses amid political uncertainty due to Brexit.

"Precious metals were strong last quarter, as more and more central bankers talked about cutting interest rates and undertaking additional quantitative easing," the report said.

Gold rose 9 per cent while silver once again lagged, rising less than 1 per cent. Platinum fell 2 per cent and palladium (again being pushed because of restrictive diesel regulations in Europe) rose 11 per cent.

Explaining the gold bull run further, Goehring & Rozencwajg said gold stocks were also strong during the quarter, advancing by 14 per cent .

"We have seen a large increase in the physical accumulation by both gold and silver ETFs (exchange traded funds) over the last several months," the firm said.

However, they added that the only thing that concerned them was the price of oil relative to gold.

"Over the last three years, we have been very bullish on global oil markets. We explained how we were waiting for gold to become undervalued relative to oil, just like it did back in the 1999-2000 period.

A "cheap" gold-oil ratio would give us our final signal that gold's three-and-a-half-year corrective phase had come to a close" they added.

( With inputs from IANS )

Open in App

Related Stories

EntertainmentLisa Mishra on ‘The Royals’: It was a long casting journey

TechnologyIndia, Chile make progress on comprehensive economic partnership agreement

CricketIPL 2025: PBKS,DC in spot of bother for playoffs qualification

BusinessIndia, Chile make progress on comprehensive economic partnership agreement

BusinessWith escalation of tension at border, Nifty, Sensex open in negative

National Realted Stories

NationalA promise in every penny: How PMJJBY is securing lives in rural India

NationalProud of our military, nation stands united: Samajwadi Party's Nadvi

NationalPakistan's disinformation campaign: Gujarat port fire, Jalandhar drone strike; PIB debunks videos

NationalAfter failed Pak drone attacks, CM Omar Abdullah rushes to Jammu to take stock of situation

NationalIndia Strikes Lahore, Karachi and Islamabad After Foiling Multiple Pakistani Attacks