City
Epaper

Hong Kong reduces economic growth forecasts

By IANS | Updated: August 15, 2019 18:55 IST

The Hong Kong government lowered its economic growth expectations on Thursday and estimated that the city's Gross Domestic Product will grow between zero to one per cent in 2019 due to "strong economic headwinds".

Open in App

"If growth does hit 0 to 1 per cent, this will be the worst situation we have faced since 2009," Hong Kong Financial Secretary Paul Chan Mo-po said in a press conference without directly referring to the protests as a cause.

"If Hong Kong's economy grows in the third quarter at a similar pace to the second, the city will be technically in a recession," he was quoted as saying by Efe news.

The technical recession would mean that the local GDP would have contracted for two consecutive quarters.

The data shows that during the first quarter, Hong Kong's economy grew by 1.3 per cent, while in the April-June period it contracted by 0.3 per cent.

Chan also announced on Thursday a number of measures that are not officially intended to resolve the political crisis facing the Hong Kong administration, but to take precautions in the face of the coming bad economic times.

The measures included a "mini budget" valued at 19.1 billion Hong Kong dollars ($2.44 billion).

According to the South China Morning Post, the measures also included increasing loan guarantees for small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) as well as lowering rents for hospitality businesses.

The British consultancy company, Capital Economics, predicted the protests' economic impact could cause a contraction of one per cent in the third quarter, ending the year with an annual growth of 0.5 per cent.

According to Capital Economics, the most affected sector would be tourism, which contributes to around four per cent of the total GDP.

Hong Kong is witnessing the 11th consecutive week of demonstrations that erupted in June, sparked by the government's controversial extradition bill that was later shelved by Hong Kong Chief Executive Carrie Lam after intense popular pressure.

The controversy surrounding the now-defunct extradition bill, which would have enabled fugitives to be transferred from Hong Kong to mainland China to stand trial under the latter's opaque legal system, has morphed into a set of wider demands for democracy in the ex-British colony.

Hong Kong's economy would face a severe contraction that could threaten the strength of the Hong Kong dollar if the protests continued or, in the extreme case, the Chinese Army intervened, Capital Economics warned.

( With inputs from IANS )

Tags: Hong KongCapital EconomicsHong Kong FinancialchinaPaul Chan Mo Po
Open in App

Related Stories

InternationalChina Drafts New Regulations To Curb Risks Of Human-Like AI Interactions

InternationalIndian Vlogger Detained for 15 Hours at Chinese Airport Over Arunachal Pradesh Stance

EntertainmentChahat Khanna Rings in Christmas Early in China With Festive Celebrations

InternationalMexico Approves 50% Tariff Hike on Indian and Chinese Imports

InternationalHong Kong Fire Tragedy: Death Toll Rises to 44, Nearly 300 Still Missing

कारोबार Realted Stories

BusinessGujarat CM Bhupendrabhai Patel, Ministers Kanubhai Desai & Jitubhai Vaghani, and Ashutosh Gowariker Grace Namotsav at Sanskardham

BusinessOver 3300 projects worth Rs 85 lakh crore handled by Pragati Platform: Cabinet Secretary

BusinessIndia budget expectations positive as strong IIP, reforms and jobs focus lift confidence: DCM Shriram

BusinessIndian exports shift strategy toward diversification to offset US tariff impact: Report

BusinessRedefining Urban Living: JEM Group’s Impact on Mumbai’s Real Estate Landscape